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Information on the Iraq Election

6/12/2018 Recount Will Test the Integrity of Iraqs Elections

If conducted in a transparent and accountable fashion, the process could infuse some much-needed confidence into the countrys democratic process, despite the risks.

The euphoria surrounding Iraqs May 12 parliamentary elections has died out recently amid eruptions of violence and allegations of widespread fraud. On June 6, explosions hit Baghdads Sadr City, and a depot for ballot boxes was set ablaze on June 10. These incidents took place as the government looked into accusations of tampering with electronic voting machines, ballot box stuffing, voter intimidation, bribery, and misuse of voter IDs.

Initially, the countrys Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) shrugged off the fraud complaints, but a cabinet investigation found enough evidenceincluding potential criminal offensesto call for an exploratory 5 percent manual recount in certain provinces. Then, on June 6, parliament amended the electoral law to mandate the following:

IHEC must conduct a full manual recount of ballots in all provinces.
Judges appointed by the Supreme Judicial Council will replace IHECs current commissioners (IHEC is made up of political appointees).
All absentee ballots cast abroad are to be nullified, along with all results taken by security personnel and polling stations at camps for internally displaced persons.
The day before the parliamentary amendments were enacted, the cabinet had called for a travel ban on IHEC officials alongside its manual recount order. IHEC is now questioning the constitutionality of the legislatures move before the Supreme Court.

WHAT IS THE EVIDENCE?
The main investigation began on May 25, when the government formed a committee of officials from Iraqs auditing and intelligence agencies to look into the fraud charges. When the committee presented its findings on May 29, Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi described them as dangerous. One of the more troubling conclusions was that Iraqs electronic voting machineswhich the country had never used beforewere not adequately tested against tampering before election day. This resulted in discrepancies between actual ballots and machine readings, indicating that some machines were pre-programmed to yield fraudulent votes.

The committee also found that some of the IHEC officials supervising the elections abroad had been bribed into doctoring results through ballot box stuffing. A few polling stations even recorded 100 percent participation ratesa feat that was only possible through illegally procuring voter IDs from abstaining voters and casting ballots in their name.

WHY IT MATTERS
Ignoring or whitewashing evidence of vote rigging would erode trust in an election already marred by record low turnout, raising doubts about the next governments legitimacy. A recount, while risky in its own right, could breathe some confidence into Iraqs electoral system if conducted properly. Bolstering confidence is particularly important now because two more votes are on the horizon: the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) will hold elections in September, and nationwide provincial elections are scheduled for December.

Both the cabinet and the legislature support a recount, so it will likely go forward. At minimum, the process will lead to some tweaking of the final voting tallies, perhaps even enough to change the outcome in certain provinces.

Yet a manual recount is not a panaceaalthough it can address electronic fraud, it will not detect other problems such as ballot box stuffing and voter intimidation. The June 10 depot fire could further limit the recounts effectiveness if crucial evidence has been destroyed. Moreover, if the discrepancies between machine and manual reading are egregious, the country will likely be headed toward fresh elections, as advocated by former prime minister Ayad Allawi and other political leaders.

A recount carries significant political risks as well. It might delay the government formation process well into 2019 and cause further party fragmentation. It could also produce major shifts in the declared results that wind up blunting the lead of Muqtada al-Sadrs Shia Arab coalitiona development that would no doubt exacerbate sectarian tensions and political turmoil.

In the KRG, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan have already dug in their heels, boycotting the parliamentary session that voted for the recount and refusing the order to nullify results from special security-force balloting (where the influence of party patronage is typically strongest). Some elements may resort to violence if the process does not go their wayfor example, when media affiliated with the KRG opposition faction Gorran mentioned the prospect of voter fraud shortly before the election, the PUK attacked the partys Sulaymaniyah headquarters.

As for the possibility of wider national violence, such eruptions seem to be a constant threat in Iraq. Despite ongoing security reforms, numerous forces and militias still operate beyond the governments control. Security prevailed during the election itself, but the explosions in Sadr City and the depot attack show how easily certain actorswhether foreign or domesticcan become spoilers.

WHAT TO EXPECT
To alleviate these risks and restore some faith in Iraqi democracy, the recount should be conducted as swiftly as possible, with maximal international support. Unbiased foreign observers would help boost confidence in the processUN involvement is a must, as is support from renowned U.S.-based organizations like the International Republican Institute and National Democratic Institute. Holding new elections would entail greater risk; the chances of that scenario will become clearer in the coming days, especially if prominent figures such as Shia ayatollah Ali al-Sistani weigh in with public remarks.

As the recount takes its course, Abadi and his government will likely be forced to enter caretaker mode in the absence of a new legislature. Any decisions he makes in the interim would affect his chances at securing a second term.

For their part, U.S. officials should remain neutral while offering Abadi whatever support he needs to ensure accountability and rule of law. In addition, they should help the Iraqi military focus on the security of provinces recently liberated from the Islamic State, where vote rigging was widespread. These provinces in particular cannot afford more violence. Washington should also signal the two ruling Kurdish parties that political violence in the north is unacceptable. source

6/11/2018 HEAD ELECTORAL OFFICER CLAIMS NEARLY 1 MILLION FRAUDULENT OR INVALID BALLOTS CAST

BAGHDAD Chief electoral officer Riad Badran has revealed the existence of incidents of electoral fraud, including 300,000 extra votes from ballot stuffing and about 500,000 invalid ballots, stressing that the issue of manually counting is not without sensitivity and gravity.

Badran said in a TV interview on Saturday (June 9) that there were 170,000 incidents of ballot stuffing in Baghdad alone.

On Wednesday (June 6), the Iraqi Council of Representatives voted to amend the Law on Elections. The amendments included re-counting and manually counting the results of the elections, suspending the work of the Board of Commissioners and replacing them with nine judges, canceling the votes of the Peshmerga in the Kurdistan Region, the diaspora, and the displaced, and voted to form a fact-finding committee on the elections and any potential violations.

The Supreme Judicial Council announced on Thursday (June 7) its approval and that the amendments would be implemented.

The spokesman of the Supreme Judicial Council, Abdul Sattar Birqdar, said in a press statement that "in implementation of the Third Amendment Law of the Election Law 2018 issued on 6/6/2018, the President of the Supreme Judicial Council decided to invite members of the Judicial Council to meet on Sunday (June 10) to nominate judges who will be assigned to carry out the work of the Board of Commissioners and to supervise the process of manually re-counting the results of the elections. source

6/9/18 A judge charged with overseeing manual counting and counting in the Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC), instead of the commissioners, said Saturday it would take three weeks and be subject to four filters.

The judge, who declined to be named, told "Al-Ghad Press" that "the process will take about three weeks from the day of manual counting and counting," adding that "the process will be based on electronic stores containing all ballot papers in the funds, and this will accelerate the process Counting and sorting ".

He added that "the process of counting and sorting will be subject to four filters to prevent the President of any manipulation of votes by employees or others," pointing out that "the computers on which employees work with advanced programs to calculate the votes and analysis, and is inserted after the emergence of results in other computers to verify, to prevent Any possible manipulation ".

He pointed out that "computers are divided into categories (ABCD ...) and will enter as results in these computers in the belief of judges to protect the electoral process and prevent any case of manipulation of votes."

"The appeals will be considered null and void and other appeals will be registered after showing the final results of the count and manual counting," he said, adding that the judiciary had completed about 1,700 cases out of about 1900, but stopped after the parliament's decision to re-count Manual counting and freezing the work of commissioners and the judiciary. source

 

 

 

 

 

6/9/18 Informed sources on Saturday revealed the start of manual counting and results of the last parliamentary elections on Wednesday, while it indicated that it will take 10 days after the assignment of more than 10 thousand employees to work in the warehouses of the Commission.

"The Supreme Judicial Council summoned a number of heads of courts in the provinces of the north, west and south of the country to designate them as heads of branches of the Iraqi Electoral Commission, which imposed the judiciary last Thursday and the prevention of its members to travel after proven accusations of manipulation and rigging the elections, .

According to sources, according to the newspaper, "more than 10 thousand employees will be assigned to work in the warehouses of the Commission to return the process of counting and sorting manually for more than 10 million ballot papers, reserved by the Supreme Judicial Committee and under strict security at the headquarters of the main UNHCR in Baghdad."

She noted that "the staff will be assigned from the Iraqi courts and the Office of Financial Supervision and the Iraqi Integrity Commission, the University of Baghdad and the Ministry of Education."

The sources suggested that "the process of counting and sorting on Wednesday or Thursday next with the prevention of agents of political entities and local organizations to intervene and give the United Nations the option of participating as a commander of the process of re-counting and manual sorting."

For his part, a judge in the Court of Rasafa in Baghdad, said that "the process of re-counting may take a week to ten days during which the citizen should know that it is an attempt to re-legitimacy of the electoral process by trying to purify as much as possible fraud, but this does not mean that it was a hundred Per cent. " source

5/29/2018 Much of the following Posted by Chattels in the Chat Room (THANKS Attorney Chattels! IQDCalls.com

A slight rise in the dollar exchange rate in local markets
29/05/2018
Economy News _ Baghdad

The exchange rate of the dollar rose slightly on the Stock Exchange and domestic markets on Tuesday (May 29, 2018)
Kifah stock exchange - Baghdad 119.750 dinars, while the price for yesterday was 119.600 dinars.
Selling and buying prices in banking shops:
The selling price of the dollar = 120.250 dinars.
The purchase price of the dollar = 119.250 dinars.
source

5/29/2018 Much of the following Posted by Chattels in the Chat Room (THANKS Attorney Chattels! IQDCalls.com

A slight rise in the dollar exchange rate in local markets
29/05/2018
Economy News _ Baghdad

The exchange rate of the dollar rose slightly on the Stock Exchange and domestic markets on Tuesday (May 29, 2018)
Kifah stock exchange - Baghdad 119.750 dinars, while the price for yesterday was 119.600 dinars.
Selling and buying prices in banking shops:
The selling price of the dollar = 120.250 dinars.
The purchase price of the dollar = 119.250 dinars.
source

Regarding the vote in Parliament on the election results. Despite all of the rhetoric and histrionics, this appears to effectively be a "non-event". Says Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk

" Because this is a non-binding resolution, the Iraqi govt does not even need to appeal it in the courts. It can just ignore the vote as if it never happened & just proceed."
https://twitter.com/UticaRisk?lang=en
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk

A note for those making a big deal over the #Iraq parliament's vote yesterday on the election:
This was a non-binding resolution, whatever Iraqi MPs say, they have no authority to pass legislation canceling votes or requiring anything regarding an election. It means nothing.

News reports - or "news reports" - like this are the culprit I think. This is totally misleading. The parl't vote did *not* cancel or order or decide anything at all. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iraqi-parliament-cancels-result-of-expat-votes-/1159131

Regarding the vote in Parliament on the election results. Despite all of the rhetoric and histrionics, this appears to effectively be a "non-event". Says Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk

" Because this is a non-binding resolution, the Iraqi govt does not even need to appeal it in the courts. It can just ignore the vote as if it never happened & just proceed."
https://twitter.com/UticaRisk?lang=en
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk

A note for those making a big deal over the #Iraq parliament's vote yesterday on the election:
This was a non-binding resolution, whatever Iraqi MPs say, they have no authority to pass legislation canceling votes or requiring anything regarding an election. It means nothing.

News reports - or "news reports" - like this are the culprit I think. This is totally misleading. The parl't vote did *not* cancel or order or decide anything at all. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iraqi-parliament-cancels-result-of-expat-votes-/1159131

The 2007 law which governs IHEC does give parliament the right to impeach individual commissioners upon a showing of wrongdoing. It has zero authority to order specific actions, such as canceling or recounting votes.
All at https://twitter.com/UticaRisk?lang=en&lang=en

 And there are about 270 that lost their seats.
Huge turnover.

Most Iraqi MPs who voted last night to cancel parts of Iraqi election results lost their seats in Parliament elections held 12 May. 232 MPs lost their seats & only 97 were reelected for another term.

http://iraqnewsapp.com/1/Article/2244/161243512#.Ww0UlGmxU0M
http://iraqnewsapp.com/1/Article/2244/161243512#.Ww1EREgvyM9

https://twitter.com/DavidMWitty1?lang=en

Chihod: This number of deputies will attend tomorrow's special session

A representative of the coalition of state law, Mohamed Chihod, on Wednesday, that nearly 150 deputies will attend the extraordinary parliament session on Thursday.
The Chihod said in a press statement that "the number of deputies who will attend the extraordinary parliament session on Thursday to discuss the electoral process and the violations that occurred in them, reached about 150 deputies."
"If the parliament makes a decision to make the counting of votes manually and the UNHCR does not respond, this indicates that the Commission is working for external agendas," he said.
The Presidency of the Council of Representatives decided to hold an extraordinary session on Thursday, 24/5/2018 at 4 pm to discuss the electoral process, according to a statement to the Presidency of Parliament. http://aletejahtv.com/archives/229175

REGARDLESS OF ELECTION RESULTS, IRAQ WON

The election campaign in Iraq this year has been quite intense to put it mildly. If there is anything that Iraqis do so well, it is to be palpably passionate about where they stand regarding issues that matter the most to them. Boycotters were incredibly passionate about their decision to abstain from voting and participants were also incredibly passionate about their decision to vote. Basically we have been on an emotional roller coaster since the beginning of 2018, and it culminated on May 12th when Iraqis cast their votes in an election that was hailed by most observers and analysts as being free and peaceful.

This has been an extremely tight race. After the announcement of the final results by the Independent High Electoral Commission, three blocs came ahead: Sairoon won 54 seats, Fateh won 48 seats and Nasr won 42 seats. No bloc has an outright majority, which is 165 out of a total 329 seats, to form a government on its own. Therefore winning blocs will have to forge alliances and reach out to their competitors before we can actually see the formation of a new government.

Post-election period should be a time for quiet reflection and recalculation, for both political parties and the electorate as well. Winning parties and their voters get to celebrate and rejoice, while losing parties and their voters retreat to assess what went wrong and try to find ways to cope and regroup.

If you are an Iraqi who has been incredibly excited about the prospect of going to the polls and casting your vote for someone who represents your vision for this country but that person whom you voted for did not win, then what should you do? What is the best way to deal with feelings of disappointment and disheartenment that are likely to follow? Let us go through what needs to be done together.

You must remember that this is certainly not the end of the world. Iraq is a democracy and free elections are held every four years. So even if your candidate did not end up winning this time around, there is a possibility they may win in four years from now. S/he is going to be fine regardless, and so are you.

Iraq has been through a lot over the course of its modern history: military coups, decades of brutal dictatorship, wars, harsh international sanctions, foreign invasion, civil conflict and terrorism. Keep telling yourself that you have managed to survive what was much worse than this and that you will surely manage to survive seeing your election candidate lose as well.

The temptation to avoid addressing your disappointment and keep going with your life as if nothing has happened can be quite strong, but at the same time it is unhealthy and self-destructive. Talk to your close circle of confidants about why you are feeling gutted and more importantly about what to do next and how to move forward. Processing your grief is essential to achieve acceptance.

Taking the time to listen to regular people who made electoral choices that are different from yours is also very important, as it is entirely possible to engage respectfully with people with whom you disagree without sacrificing your own integrity. Reach out to them and hear them out, listen to their reasons with an open mind and avoid judging them. Try your best to understand where they are coming from and do not dismiss them just because they have chosen to pick a candidate whose policies and/or character are not something for which you would normally go. You are Iraqi, and they are Iraqis as well.

Becoming more involved in your society is another great way of moving on from being disheartened by politics and elections. Find a worthy cause and dedicate yourself to it; look for great charities or NGOs and donate your time and/or your money to them. Being an active member of your local community is an effective way of reminding yourself to keep things in perspective: you went to the polls and cast your vote because you care about Iraq and you want what is best for yourself and your people.

And finally, you do not get to give up on Iraq and its people just because the election results may not have gone your way. Your vote did not go to waste and your participation was not in vain even if you are disappointed by the elections outcome. Iraqi democracy is not perfect but it is definitely something that is worth fighting for and standing by. Even if the people whom you did not vote for ended up forming the next government, then you must wish them nothing but success in their mission to govern. Their failure would compromise Iraq as a whole and may I remind you that you and your loved ones live in this country as well. Wishing them failure so that you can gloat to their voters faces is unpatriotic and foolish. http://1001iraqithoughts.com/2018/05/22/regardless-of-election-results-iraq-won/

Iraqi MP: the High Election Commission only counted the votes of displaced persons in the Kurdish Region. Election Commission cancelled the votes of those in displacement camps under Baghdad's control. Protests now in camps in Ninawa province.
http://wataniq.com/news?ID=29455

Breakdown Of The Iraq Election Results

Analyzing the returns from Iraqs May 2018 parliamentary elections shows some interesting trends. First, the most well organized parties did the best. Some lists were focused upon the wrong themes, and there was widespread charges of fraud.

The Sairoon alliance between Moqtada al-Sadr, the Iraqi Communist Party, and some civil society groups benefited the most from the low voter turnout. Sairoons political machine served it well. It was able to mobilize its voters and get them to pick from across the list to get them a plurality of the seats with 54. It was the only one that ran completely new candidates, and its participation in the protests for services, ending corruption and political reform showed that it did not want to maintain the status quo. That matched the widespread disillusionment with the electorate this year. In 2014 Sadrs Ahrar won 34 seats, while the Civil Democratic Alliance got 4. Half of the later joined Sadr this year, so together they were able to gain roughly 18 seats. While the number of votes it received was little changed from 2014, because fewer people came out Sairoon won a larger percentage. Its base was solidly in the south coming in 1st in Dhi Qar, Maysan, Muthanna, Najaf, and Wasit, 2nd in Babil, Basra, Karbala, and Qadisiyah, along with winning Baghdad, and fourth place in Diyala.

Fatah which was led by Badrs Hadi Amiri and made up mostly of pro-Iran Hashd groups also did well. In 2014, Badr was part of State of Law and won 22 seats. Another member of the list, Asaib Ahl Al-Haq won 1 seat that year as well. This year Fatah took 47 seats. Like Sairoon, Fatah was able to get out the vote. It played upon the Hashds populist image of common folk who fought the Islamic State. It included some Sunni candidates leading to 2 seats in Salahaddin and 3 seats in Ninewa, along with winning Babil, Basra, Karbala, Qadisiyah, and coming in 2nd in Baghdad, Dhi Qar, Diyala, Maysan, Muthanna, Najaf, and Wasit.

Abadi was hoping his victory over the Islamic State and his dealing with the Kurdish independence referendum would lead to his victory in May, but that didnt happen. He used the office of the prime minister to crisscross the country in the weeks before the vote talking about tackling corruption, and being a nationalist rather than a sectarian list. His base in the Shiite middle class also meant he didnt play on Shiite identity politics as much. As a member of the Communist Party and another from the Civil Democratic Party pointed out, the premier made promises to deal with graft and the ethnosectarian political system, but never did anything substantive about them. With the mood of the public swinging against the status quo, Abadi suffered by representing the establishment. He came in a disappointing third with 42 seats. His running of candidates across the country was the one highlight as he picked up 2 seats in Anbar and Salahaddin each, and won in Ninewa netting 7 seats, all of which are considered solidly Sunni governorates. In Baghdad, he largely flopped however coming in tied for fourth with 8 seats.

Vice President Nouri al-Malikis State of Law was fourth with 26 seats. Despite being blamed for the loss of Mosul in 2014, failing to get the Hashd to run with him, flip flopping from being an opponent of the Kurds to trying to appeal to them over the independence referendum, which cost him in the south, Maliki won the most votes of any individual. He did the same in 2010 and 2014. State of Law was also able to come in third ahead of Abadis Nasr in the capital. Maliki tried to embrace the reform trend by calling for a majority government as the solution to the problems in Baghdad, but otherwise made a sectarian appeal to the Shiite community.

The Kurdish vote was highly contested, but the ruling parties ended up coming out on top. The KDP won 25 seats and the PUK 18. Thats roughly the same as 2014 when the KDP got 25 and the PUK 21. The opposition was hoping for a much better showing with the failure of the Kurdish referendum, the loss of Kirkuk, and the economic crisis in Kurdistan. They talked about running together but the clash of personalities at the top meant they went it alone and it cost them. Change that won 9 seats in 2014 only got 5 in 2018. New Generation won 4 seats, and the Coalition for Democracy and Justice, the Kurdistan Islamic Union, and the Kurdistan Islamic Group each got 2. The PUK has been accused of cheating in Kirkuk and Sulaymaniya, but it and the KDPs success is again due to its voter mobilization. Its followers came out despite the problems and voted across the lists to get the most candidates in office. They are now hoping to play their victory in Kurdistan and Kirkuk into rejoining the federal government, which they had moved away from in the last several years. The opposition on the other hand are talking about lawsuits and withdrawing from the political process because of their poor showing, which they have blamed on the PUKs fraud. That will mean the Kurdish parliamentarians will continue to be split and divided over regional politics rather than focusing on national ones.

Wataniya made up of Vice President Iyad Allawi, Speaker of Parliament Salim al-Jabouri and Salah al-Mutlaq was another disappointed list. It pulled 21 seats when in 2014 Allawi was able to pull that same amount on his own. While it tied for the most seats in Diyala, and came in 2nd in Anbar, it didnt do as well in other areas picking up 3rd in Ninewa and Salahaddin, tied for 4th in Baghdad, and won no seats in Babil, although it did pick up one seat in Basra. Wataniya tried to play upon the publics disillusionment, but Allawi and Mutlaq had done little in the last four years, while Jabouri was aligned with Abadi.

Ammar Hakim ran alone this year forming his own Hikma after he split with his familys Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq. Like everyone else he talked about reform, but was really helped by the financial backing he had. The list finished with 19 seats. In 2014, his Mowatin, which included the Iraqi National Congress was able to get 31 seats.

Vice President Osama Nujafi was another politician that had to deal with faltering popularity. In 2014 his Mutahidun won 27 seats. That went down to 13 seats in 2018. Even in Ninewa where Nujafi is from he came in a distant 5th. Nujafi played about identity politics and his opposition to Abadi, but neither paid off.
Breakdown Of The Iraq Election Results

Analyzing the returns from Iraqs May 2018 parliamentary elections shows some interesting trends. First, the most well organized parties did the best. Some lists were focused upon the wrong themes, and there was widespread charges of fraud.

The Sairoon alliance between Moqtada al-Sadr, the Iraqi Communist Party, and some civil society groups benefited the most from the low voter turnout. Sairoons political machine served it well. It was able to mobilize its voters and get them to pick from across the list to get them a plurality of the seats with 54. It was the only one that ran completely new candidates, and its participation in the protests for services, ending corruption and political reform showed that it did not want to maintain the status quo. That matched the widespread disillusionment with the electorate this year. In 2014 Sadrs Ahrar won 34 seats, while the Civil Democratic Alliance got 4. Half of the later joined Sadr this year, so together they were able to gain roughly 18 seats. While the number of votes it received was little changed from 2014, because fewer people came out Sairoon won a larger percentage. Its base was solidly in the south coming in 1st in Dhi Qar, Maysan, Muthanna, Najaf, and Wasit, 2nd in Babil, Basra, Karbala, and Qadisiyah, along with winning Baghdad, and fourth place in Diyala.

Fatah which was led by Badrs Hadi Amiri and made up mostly of pro-Iran Hashd groups also did well. In 2014, Badr was part of State of Law and won 22 seats. Another member of the list, Asaib Ahl Al-Haq won 1 seat that year as well. This year Fatah took 47 seats. Like Sairoon, Fatah was able to get out the vote. It played upon the Hashds populist image of common folk who fought the Islamic State. It included some Sunni candidates leading to 2 seats in Salahaddin and 3 seats in Ninewa, along with winning Babil, Basra, Karbala, Qadisiyah, and coming in 2nd in Baghdad, Dhi Qar, Diyala, Maysan, Muthanna, Najaf, and Wasit.

Abadi was hoping his victory over the Islamic State and his dealing with the Kurdish independence referendum would lead to his victory in May, but that didnt happen. He used the office of the prime minister to crisscross the country in the weeks before the vote talking about tackling corruption, and being a nationalist rather than a sectarian list. His base in the Shiite middle class also meant he didnt play on Shiite identity politics as much. As a member of the Communist Party and another from the Civil Democratic Party pointed out, the premier made promises to deal with graft and the ethnosectarian political system, but never did anything substantive about them. With the mood of the public swinging against the status quo, Abadi suffered by representing the establishment. He came in a disappointing third with 42 seats. His running of candidates across the country was the one highlight as he picked up 2 seats in Anbar and Salahaddin each, and won in Ninewa netting 7 seats, all of which are considered solidly Sunni governorates. In Baghdad, he largely flopped however coming in tied for fourth with 8 seats.

Vice President Nouri al-Malikis State of Law was fourth with 26 seats. Despite being blamed for the loss of Mosul in 2014, failing to get the Hashd to run with him, flip flopping from being an opponent of the Kurds to trying to appeal to them over the independence referendum, which cost him in the south, Maliki won the most votes of any individual. He did the same in 2010 and 2014. State of Law was also able to come in third ahead of Abadis Nasr in the capital. Maliki tried to embrace the reform trend by calling for a majority government as the solution to the problems in Baghdad, but otherwise made a sectarian appeal to the Shiite community.

The Kurdish vote was highly contested, but the ruling parties ended up coming out on top. The KDP won 25 seats and the PUK 18. Thats roughly the same as 2014 when the KDP got 25 and the PUK 21. The opposition was hoping for a much better showing with the failure of the Kurdish referendum, the loss of Kirkuk, and the economic crisis in Kurdistan. They talked about running together but the clash of personalities at the top meant they went it alone and it cost them. Change that won 9 seats in 2014 only got 5 in 2018. New Generation won 4 seats, and the Coalition for Democracy and Justice, the Kurdistan Islamic Union, and the Kurdistan Islamic Group each got 2. The PUK has been accused of cheating in Kirkuk and Sulaymaniya, but it and the KDPs success is again due to its voter mobilization. Its followers came out despite the problems and voted across the lists to get the most candidates in office. They are now hoping to play their victory in Kurdistan and Kirkuk into rejoining the federal government, which they had moved away from in the last several years. The opposition on the other hand are talking about lawsuits and withdrawing from the political process because of their poor showing, which they have blamed on the PUKs fraud. That will mean the Kurdish parliamentarians will continue to be split and divided over regional politics rather than focusing on national ones.

Wataniya made up of Vice President Iyad Allawi, Speaker of Parliament Salim al-Jabouri and Salah al-Mutlaq was another disappointed list. It pulled 21 seats when in 2014 Allawi was able to pull that same amount on his own. While it tied for the most seats in Diyala, and came in 2nd in Anbar, it didnt do as well in other areas picking up 3rd in Ninewa and Salahaddin, tied for 4th in Baghdad, and won no seats in Babil, although it did pick up one seat in Basra. Wataniya tried to play upon the publics disillusionment, but Allawi and Mutlaq had done little in the last four years, while Jabouri was aligned with Abadi.

Ammar Hakim ran alone this year forming his own Hikma after he split with his familys Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq. Like everyone else he talked about reform, but was really helped by the financial backing he had. The list finished with 19 seats. In 2014, his Mowatin, which included the Iraqi National Congress was able to get 31 seats.

Vice President Osama Nujafi was another politician that had to deal with faltering popularity. In 2014 his Mutahidun won 27 seats. That went down to 13 seats in 2018. Even in Ninewa where Nujafi is from he came in a distant 5th. Nujafi played about identity politics and his opposition to Abadi, but neither paid off. source

 

5/21/18 The making of a coalition or creating a majority to form the new government in Iraq necessitates 165 seats.
The final seat allocation has been accomplished and negotiations are ongoing. We await final certification by the court resolving electoral complaints and the outcome of the ongoing negotiations.
See http://musingsoniraq.blogspot.com/2018/05/seat-allocation-announced-for-iraqs-new.html

Tamer El-Ghobashy @TamerELG

A spokesman for Ammar al-Hakim says Sadr, Ameri, Abadi and Hakim will be entering into a parliamentary coalition within 72 hours. A lot can change but looks like Maliki and Allawi are the odd men out. #IraqElections2018
https://twitter.com/TamerELG?lang=en

Political leaders in meetings marathon to form the largest bloc {}

Expectations by announcing during the days and determine the compass of alliances between the blocks
Baghdad / morning / Omar Abdel - Latif http://www.alsabaah.iq/ArticleShow.aspx?ID=157415

confirmed Prime Minister Haider al - Abadi the cleric Moqtada al - Sadr, the need to accommodate everyone and speed up the formation of the government, announced an alliance "conquest" that he initiated in consultation with the coalition Abadi "victory" and al - Maliki , " the rule of law" to form the largest bloc, with current national wisdom revealed that the next 48 hours will determine connect Alliances between the political blocs.

 The political negotiations on the largest bloc in the House of Representatives formation is still in its infancy and is awaiting the resolution of complaints filed by the blocks on electoral violations." He added that the "coalition of conquest began in consultation with the political blocs and nearby parties, especially the coalition rule of law and victory , " pointing out that " the resolution of the formation of the largest bloc by the three coalitions need some time , "

 The senior leaders of the Islamic Dawa Party are trying, the revival of a previous agreement between the two wings of Abadi al - Maliki to heal after the elections , "
(It is almost pointless to follow these endless discussions of who is aligning with who at this point).
http://mobp.as/SrUYl

http://iraqnewsapp.com/1/Article/2244/160715776#.WwItgEgvyM8
The various news reports are impossible to reconcile. The reports appear highly subjective and self serving. The import of any article depends upon who is speaking/ posturing and the agenda of the speaker.

May 20 2018 chattels "The Supreme Electoral Tribunal is considering appeals and then ratified the results and submit it to the Federal Court for approval," adding that "the duration of consideration of appeals and validation take about 20 days. source link

Abadi and Sadr speak of strong, inclusive govt after meeting By Rudaw http://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/20052018

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region Incumbent Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and the winner of the general elections Muqtada al-Sadr held a joint press conference after a meeting late Saturday in which they spoke of their vision for Iraqs future, signaling that they may work together.

There was a clear message in this meeting: hoping that your government will be all inclusive, said Sadr.
chattels The new government should be strong and provide services and security to the people in the coming four years, said Abadi.

Abadi acknowledged the problem of high unemployment, especially among youth, and said the issue should be a priority.

This government should create job opportunities, provide services, and improve the lives of the people. It also has to mainly care about the poor.
chattels It is widely expected that Abadi will retain his post of prime minister.

He said that political parties have to accelerate the process of convening the new parliament so that it can form a government.
chattelsThe meeting witnessed a convergence of views to the need to accommodate everyone. "
As al-Sadr thanked the Prime Minister and blessed him the victory achieved by the victory list.
He added that "the meeting is a reassuring message that the next government is patriarchal and takes care of all the people." He pointed out that "our hand is extended to all those who build the homeland and that the decision is Iraqi, stressing the importance of accelerating the formation of a government that takes into account the aspirations of our people." http://www.alliraqnews.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=73904

Elections of 2018 .. Fall of veteran figures and others maintain their status
Iraqi Media Network - 5/20/2018 9:26:31 AM - http://iraqnewsapp.com/1/Article/2244/160708031#.WwEfRkgvyM8

Iraqi Speaker of Parliament Jaburi losses his seat in recent Iraqi elections.
http://mobp.as/HqPYl

Abadi announces understanding with Sadr to form a government and reveals its features
http://www.shafaaq.com/ar/Ar_NewsReader/cc2b1277-7e11-435e-83b6-0e8ad910324b

This is what Abadi will do if he becomes prime minister again http://wataniq.com/news?ID=29353

(Watan News) Follow-up

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi vowed on Sunday that Iraq would witness "tremendous development" at various levels in the event of re-election to prime minister again, noting that his government will spare no effort to ensure the process of transition to the next government.

"My government will spare no effort to ensure the transition to the next government in a transparent and stable manner, which will create the basis for a strong democratic system based on the rule of law," Abadi said in an article in the Washington Post .

"We have called on other alliances to form a government based on the following criteria: a reform agenda that continues to build on the political successes of the current government, economic well-being, maintaining our non-partisan diplomatic stance towards other countries, mutual interests, protecting our security gains, "Adding that he would not" agree at any stage to work with those whose hands were stained with corruption or those who knew about the practice of sectarianism . "

He added that "the incoming ministers must be from the technocrats and the new government must be characterized by the prominent non-affiliation to any elite and be representative of the people rather than subject to the domination of a particular party or class," pointing out that "there are three concerns placed by the Iraqi top priorities Regardless of its belonging, namely: fighting corruption, providing jobs and improving services. These priorities are an eye to which he has committed himself . "

"Today, I declare to my people that we will witness a dramatic transformation in Iraq over the next four years if the affairs of the government are good," he said. "In my view, I will reform our country's economy, eliminate corruption and create jobs for millions of young people who constitute the majority of the population. Country " .
 If we are elected prime minister again, we will struggle to achieve these fundamental developments every day of my leadership of this country," he said.
"In my view, I will reform our country's economy, eliminate corruption and create jobs for millions of young people who constitute the majority of the population."
............. I will reform our country's economy, ..........."
" ............ if the affairs of the government are good," he said.

5/19/2018 In victory, Sadr tells Iraqis We will not disappoint you

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region Final election results confirmed that Muqtada al-Sadrs Sayirun alliance won the Iraqi election.

Muqtada al-Sadr tweeted that it was an honour to have won the confidence of the people.

Iraq and reform have won your vote. We will not disappoint you, he stated.

On Friday, prior to the release of the final results, incumbent Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi called for cooperation among all parties and blocs to form a government that will represent the country, rejecting sectarianism and tackling corruption.

Forming that government, however, will be a hurdle as no single party emerged with strong numbers in the 329 seat chamber.

Sadrs Sayirun alliance with the Communist Party secured 54 seats, followed by the Fatih alliance with 47 seats, and Abadis Victory (Nasr) alliance with 42 seats.

Abadi and Sadr may be able to work together they both put battling corruption and sectarianism at the forefront of their campaigns and pundits have predicted Abadi may retain his post.

Sadr, however, is opposed to foreign influence in the government and has ruled out governing with Nouri al-Maliki, whose State of Law won 26 seats, or Hadi al-Ameri, who heads the Iranian-backed Fatih alliance.

AFP reported that Irans influential general Qassem Soleimani was in Baghdad where he met with Abadi and Maliki and ruled out an alliance with Sadr.

Sadr has met with Shiite leader Ammar al-Hakim to discuss formation of the next government. Hakim's Hikma movement won 19 seats.

Kurdish parties collectively hold 58 seats largely in the hands of the KDP, 25, and PUK, 18. The Kurds could be kingmakers, but would have to overcome internal rivalries.

The vote was marred by historically low turnout just 44.5 percent, which is the lowest in post-Saddam Hussein Iraq.

The election commission said parties have three days to file complaints over the results.

Under the constitution, the president of Iraq must call for parliament to convene within 15 days of the ratification of the election results.

Parliamentarians are sworn in with the following oath: "I swear by God Almighty to carry out my legal duties and responsibilities with devotion and integrity and preserve the independence and sovereignty of Iraq, and safeguard the interests of its people, and ensure the safety of its land, sky, water, wealth, and federal democratic system, and I shall endeavor to protect public and private liberties, the independence of the judiciary, and pledge to implement legislation faithfully and neutrally. God is my witness."

Parliaments first session will be chaired by its older member and its first order of business will be to elect a speaker and two deputies by an absolute majority in a secret ballot. A fifteen-day extension to this time period is possible.

The parliament will then elect a president from a list of candidates by a two-thirds majority. If a single candidate does not reach the threshold, then a run-off is held between the top two candidates with the one receiving the most votes declared as president.

Within 15 days of his or her election, the president will charge the nominee of the largest bloc with forming the Council of Ministers. This prime minister-designate has 30 days to do so and if he or she fails, the president will charge a new nominee with the same task, giving them 15 days to form the cabinet.

Parliament must approve the prime minister-designates selections for ministerial posts by an absolute majority. source

Iraqi Police intercept 31 boxes filled with stacks of $100 bills, smuggled from Iran, into Iraq, to be delivered to HADI AL-AMARI, head of the pro-Khomeiniist regime Badr militia and current Iraqi parliamentarian, for his re-election and ahead of the May 12th vote.
 

Fathawi admits defeat: 2018/5/19 http://www.alliraqnews.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=73883

5/18/2018 pm Iraq's election commission has released final results for the parliamentary election.


Sadr wins Iraqi parliamentary elections with 54 seats

As expected, the Sayirun alliance of Muqtada al-Sadr and the Communist Party has won the most seats - 54 of the parliament's total 329.

The Fatih alliance with ties to Iranian-backed militias came second with 47 seats, pushing the Victory (Nasr) alliance of incumbent Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi into third place with 42 seats.

Among the Kurdish parties, the KDP won the most seats with 25, putting it fifth overall in the country, one seat behind Nouri al-Maliki's State of Law coalition.

The PUK won 18 seats.

The breakdown of the frontrunners and the Kurdish parties is as follows:

Sayirun 54 seats
Fatih 47 seats
Victory (Nasr) alliance 42 seats
State of Law 26 seats
KDP 25 seats
Al-Wataniya 22 seats
Hikma Front 19 seats
PUK 18 seats
Gorran 5 seats
New Generation 4 seats
Komal 2 seats
CDJ 2 seats
KIU 2 seats

Parties have three days to file complaints.
source

5/18/2018 Newspaper: Communists prevent Sadr from the alliance with Abadi Al-Hayat
newspaper reported on Friday that the leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr expressed his intention to ally with Prime Minister Haider Abadi; to form the largest bloc, but the political circle close to Sadr, differed in this regard.

The newspaper quoted a member of the Political Bureau of the "Iraqi Communist Party," Jassim al-Hilfi, the main ally of "Sawson," saying that "the stage requires a comprehensive change in the map of the formation of the pyramid government, declaring the existence of many options outside the framework of Abbadi, saying that he failed during his first administration Very important files ".

He called for the removal of the post of prime minister from the circle of the "Islamic Dawa Party," which held four consecutive sessions (Ibrahim al-Jaafari 2005-2006, Maliki in the cycles of 2006-2010 and 2010-2014), and the selection of independent competencies technocrats.

The newspaper said that "yesterday's meeting, which brought together al-Hakim, achieved positive results talked about by the poles of the two parties, and some went to the expectation of an alliance, and this great optimism, if achieved, will mean that the triangle of Sadr - Abadi - wise will achieve 127 seats.

Abadi must rebel against the decision of his party (Islamic call) alliance with Maliki after the elections, while the rest of the Shiite lists will gather 76 seats, which means that the first coalition can nail the formation of the government commissioned by the President of the Republic in accordance with the Constitution and the election law.

The most serious challenge comes from wide objections to the results of the elections, accusing the Independent Electoral Commission of Iraq of rigging and demanding the re-counting and sorting by hand, which called for dozens of deputies to submit a request to the current Speaker of Parliament, Salim al-Jubouri, to hold an extraordinary session to discuss the crisis, A meeting scheduled for tomorrow, according to the newspaper "Life" of London.

Several video recordings of activists on social networking sites showed what they said was fraud at home, abroad and private.

In Kirkuk, for the fourth day in a row, popular protests over the results of the elections were held, and the demonstrators besieged election officials in their offices.

The Office of the Special Representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations in Iraq, Jan Kubic, called for "the urgent action of the Commission to deal seriously with complaints, including, and, where necessary, partial manual re-examination in selected sites, especially in Kirkuk."s

"It is important to apply these procedures with full transparency, so that the stakeholders will witness them to enhance confidence in the process," he said, stressing that "the United Nations is ready to provide assistance, if requested." source

-----------------

Posted by Chattels in the chat room (THANKS Attorney Chattels! IQDCalls.com

Whatever happens next, Iraq will continue to prove its naysayers wrong and it will continue to surprise us." http://1001iraqithoughts.com/2018/05/17/making-sense-of-iraqs-election/

Iraq Election Results All 18 Provinces http://musingsoniraq.blogspot.com/2018/05/iraq-election-results-all-18-provinces.html

chattels 5/17/2018 We are waiting on the final numbers / assignment of seats from the IHEC.

 Abadi Alliance reveals the alliance "closest" to him in the formation of the new Iraqi government
Twilight News / Counting Hussein al-Adly, spokesman for a coalition "victory" led by the current Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, a coalition "led by moving Moqtada al-Sadr, leader of the Sadrist movement closest to them in the formation of the new federal government.
He said al-Adli told the newspaper "life" of London in its edition on Thursday, said that the "coalition of moving to Sadr's is the closest so far to our vision in the formation of the government, but this remains subject to consultations and what will be reached", an advocate for the fortunes of al-Abadi to "get the second term. "

http://www.shafaaq.com/ar/Ar_NewsReader/dd60ce1d-0f99-4b30-b27e-cf3611ca8d5d

-----

Sadr calls the winning lists in the elections to dialogue to form a government of technocrats
[Ayna-Najaf]
Sadr's leader, Moqtada al-Sadr, called the winning lists in the elections to dialogue to form a government of technocrats in the country.
"Despite our differences, let's look for our participants and without compromising our constants, so let's talk," Sadr said in a tweet on his personal account at the social networking site Twitter.
"I call on the leaders of the new alliances to meet, my mouth open and my hands outstretched to build our Iraq and form a government of honest and patriarchal technocrats," Sadr said.
http://www.alliraqnews.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=73791

Iraqs Top 10 Potential Prime Ministers
Will it be the Harvard- and MIT-educated mandarin, the coveralls-wearing man of the people or someone else the world has never heard of?
http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/05/15/iraqs-top-10-potential-prime-ministers/

-----
These are the steps to form the next Iraqi government
According to the Constitution .......
The Iraqi parliamentary elections, which took place yesterday, have followed the steps of forming the new government within 90 days. The steps in accordance with the Iraqi constitution will be as follows:....

- The Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) will announce the election results on Monday.....

- President Fuad Masum calls on the new parliament to convene within 15 days of announcing the results.....

- Legislators elect a speaker and two deputies by an absolute majority at the first meeting.....

- Parliament elects a new president by a two-thirds majority of deputies within 30 days of the first meeting.....

- The new president nominates the candidate of the largest bloc in parliament to form a government.....

- The prime minister-designate shall have 30 days to form the government and submit it to parliament for approval.....

- Parliament must approve the government program and each minister separately in a separate vote by an absolute majority.....

If  the prime minister-designate fails to form a coalition government  within 30 days or if parliament rejects the government proposed by the  prime minister-designate, the president must appoint another candidate to form a government within 15 days.    http://www.basnews.com/index.php/ar/news/iraq/436995

Video link 5min :: Transcript below

chattels - The President of the Federal Supreme Court Medhat Mahmoud, there is no dispute between the judiciary and any political component, noting that the Federal Court opened its doors to receive complaints submitted in accordance with the Constitution.

He said in a statement to reporters today that "his work as a sergeant for the constitutionality of the procedures in the election will be presented lists of elections to the Federal Court for approval according to the law," noting that "if there are some violations will take the court procedures to remove some elements that do not meet the conditions "He said.

He added: According to the law ends the functions of the current government after the formation of the new government, which will be after a meeting of the new parliament to choose a president of parliament and then the election of the President of the Republic, and then assigned to the Prime Minister of the largest bloc number. source

National coalition calls for re-election and the formation of the caretaker government
Editorial Date: 2018/5/13 14:29
[Ayna-Baghdad]
called a national coalition headed by Iyad Allawi to re-election and the formation of the caretaker government.
"In view of the Iraqi people's reluctance to participate in the elections in large numbers, the spread of violence, fraud, deception, buying of votes and exploitation of the conditions of displaced and displaced persons," he said in a press release.

"In addition to the blurry measures taken by the Electoral Commission in electronic voting after the citizen used to different procedures in all previous elections, and what results in such a reluctance of the legislature imposed on the citizen away from his desire, as well as a weak government does not have the confidence required for its success "
He called on the National Coalition to" re-election while keeping the current government to conduct business, until the provision of conditions for the holding of elections reflect the aspirations of our people. " source

AMXbruster69 - didnt we read this, the last Election?? hmm

chattels - No re-election, but the next stage is a caretaker government pending formation of the new / next government which means, IMO, that little if anything will happen for the next three months.

DavidMWitty1 - Iraqi Election Commission sends 5 delegations to Kurdistan, Kirkuk & Plains of Ninawa to investigate voting irregularities.

Article:
Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) on Sunday sent five investigative commissions to Erbil, Sulaymaniyah, Kirkuk and Nineveh Plain to find out the truth about the violations that took place in several polling stations and stations.

A member of the investigative committees of "Al-Gharab Press", "The Electoral Commission for the elections sent, today, five commissions of inquiry to find out the truth of the violations that took place in several polling stations and stations in Erbil, Sulaymaniyah, Kirkuk and the Nineveh Plain."

He added that "the committees moved at the dawn of today towards five areas witnessed several violations, and will send its report to Baghdad this evening, to decide the results of the stations, which saw significant violations," noting that "the preliminary information obtained by the Commission pushed to form committees before the announcement of the cancellation of the results of 11 An electoral center that witnessed large violations in Sulaymaniyah, Kirkuk and the Nineveh Plain. "

"The violations were forged electoral cards, and a large attack on the ballot boxes to cancel the results of the stations, in addition to the deliberate disruption of electronic devices for the ballot."

He pointed out that "preliminary information indicates that partisan groups deliberately sabotaged the elections in those centers for losing their positions and influence and previous dominance that led to a real fraud in the results of the elections in 2014, which was not allowed by the Commission today, but it has sabotaged funds and assault on staff And the kidnapping of one of the directors of polling stations in the Nineveh Plain, which led to confusion of the electoral process, and greatly affected the proportion of participants. http://mobp.as/rxEUl

chattels - The reasons for low turnout,44.5%.
1. Apathy&Boycott (hard to differentiate)
2. Empty political campaigns
3. IDPs
4. Electric voting cards (only 70% delivered)
5. No extension of voting hours
6. Mismanagement (run out of papers etc, which happens always)
https://twitter.com/Akiko_Yoshioka?lang=en

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